The Emergence of North Korea's Doctrine of Two Hostile Belligerent States and the Potential for Shifts in its Policy Toward South Korea
김상범
경남대학교
PEACES Vol. 4 No. 2 pp.141-173 (2025)
Abstract
The analysis explores North Korea's doctrine of viewing South Korea as a hostile belligerent state and assesses the potential for shifts in its policies, particularly under the Lee Jae-myung administration. The Kim Jong-un regime is focused on maintaining regime security while pursuing economic growth, thereby strengthening ties with Russia and leveraging its nuclear capabilities to enhance its international autonomy. Despite a relatively stable situation, there are possibilities for change, driven by a mutual desire for stability on the Korean Peninsula from both Korean leaders. Key factors include renewed dialogue with the United States, changing South Korean strategies towards the North, and broader geopolitical shifts that could catalyze policy changes. Essential actions include sending special envoys to North Korea, enhancing the South Korean presidency's role, fostering relationships with China and Russia, and recognizing North Korea's existence. Ultimately, building renewed trust between the two Koreas is crucial for any significant policy evolution regarding their interactions.
Keywords
교전 중인 적대적 두 국가이재명 신정부대북정책대남정책변화 요인
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